An AR(1) process An AR(1) process with iid noise can be expressed as an observation driven model. Suppose {Yt} is the AR(1) process Yt= ??Yt??1 + Zt , where {Zt} is an iid sequence of random variables with mean 0 and some probability density function f(x). Then with Xt:= Yt??1 we have p(yt|xt ) = f (yt?? ??xt ) and
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