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You are asked in this assignment to figure out who the Median (Average) Voter in the US was in 2008 when Barack Obama was elected President, and which groups of voters elected Obama president. Then, you will look at various groups of voters to determine which groups traditionally vote Democratic and which are most likely to vote Republican. Then you will look at how these groups are likely to vote in 2012 to predict what may happen in November. Describe your conclusions in a 1 ½ page essay. Attached to this assignment are three sets of data. I. Open the Excel Spreadsheet (Who Voted.xlsx ) that will give you the information to find the following : 1. The median age of the US Voter in the 2008 election. 2. The gender of the median US Voter in 2008. 3. The median income of the US Voter in 2008. 4. The median level of education of the US Voter in 2008. 5. The race of the Median Voter in the US in 2008. 6. Based upon the characteristics determined above describe the person who is most likely to vote in 2008. 7. Based upon the characteristics describe the person least likely to vote. II. Look at the chart Party ID with Leaners.pdf and try to predict how the median voter you described above is likely to vote in the 2012 Presidential Election including: 1. age, 2. gender, 3. income, and 4. education level. 5. Also, do women appear to vote differently from men? 6. Does your description of the Median Voter indicate the likely winner of the election or does it suggest a close election? III. Religion and voting in 2012. 1. Which religious groups tend to vote Democratic and which tend to vote Republican.? 2. Other than asking, “What is your religious preference,” what question could you ask someone related to their religion that would predict correctly which candidate they will vote for? The purpose of this assignment is to demonstrate that members of certain sociological groups tend to vote for the same candidate and other groups for the other candidate. Your paper should demonstrate that you have looked at all three charts and know recognize the voting patterns of groups based upon gender, age, income, education level and religion.
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